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A strategy i have used with pretty good results

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  • A strategy i have used with pretty good results

    In the under/ over 2.5 market when the market expects goals and the odds are high I back unders, If the market expects no goals and the odds of unders are low I Lay it. Only do this on really good odds.

    Examples.

    *Tonights game between Olhanense and Vitoria Guimaraes

    unders was 1.5 so i layed it, early goal, backed it at 2

    *Ried vs Mattersburg

    unders was 2.46 so I backed it, game finished 0-0, layed at 1.5

    these are only 2 examples but over the last few months it has been working pretty well on id say over 10 games. Doing the exact opposite of what the market is saying.

  • #2
    Good morning Rod,going to have a bash at the unders/overs today looks like you can get some good results out of it,do you trade only the 2.5 or the other unders/overs as well.Are you mainly a football trader or do you trade the horses as well cheers.

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    • #3
      trade everything m8 and im ahead of most as im constantly on the lookout for good trades. Im a 24 hour trader, if I need to be up all night watchin footy from mexico or china then thats wats got to happen.

      made a right few quid this week trading unders, and ive been finding the markets totally wrong this week.

      very easy to grab a tick or two on thes markets, arsenal last week in the champions league was a beauty. I backed at 2.54 the night before the game for a few hundred. By kick off the odds were 2.08 and I greened up at 1.9 after 6 mins.

      an example today is Duisburg v Augsburg in the bundesliga 2, unders is 2.46 so if there is no goal in the 1st 5 mins then ull be able to probably grab a good few ticks. Not looked at the stats of this game just using it as an example. If this game went 15 mins without a goal then ud be 10-25 ticks richer.

      good luck
      Last edited by Rod Flanders; 28 November 2009, 01:15 PM.

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      • #4
        Originally posted by Rod Flanders View Post
        trade everything m8 and im ahead of most as im constantly on the lookout for good trades. Im a 24 hour trader, if I need to be up all night watchin footy from mexico or china then thats wats got to happen.

        made a right few quid this week trading unders, and ive been finding the markets totally wrong this week.

        very easy to grab a tick or two on thes markets, arsenal last week in the champions league was a beauty. I backed at 2.54 the night before the game for a few hundred. By kick off the odds were 2.08 and I greened up at 1.9 after 6 mins.

        an example today is Duisburg v Augsburg in the bundesliga 2, unders is 2.46 so if there is no goal in the 1st 5 mins then ull be able to probably grab a good few ticks. Not looked at the stats of this game just using it as an example. If this game went 15 mins without a goal then ud be 10-25 ticks richer.

        good luck

        into 2.4 already, a few ticks before kick off

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        • #5
          Originally posted by Rod Flanders View Post
          trade everything m8 and im ahead of most as im constantly on the lookout for good trades. Im a 24 hour trader, if I need to be up all night watchin footy from mexico or china then thats wats got to happen.

          made a right few quid this week trading unders, and ive been finding the markets totally wrong this week.

          very easy to grab a tick or two on thes markets, arsenal last week in the champions league was a beauty. I backed at 2.54 the night before the game for a few hundred. By kick off the odds were 2.08 and I greened up at 1.9 after 6 mins.

          an example today is Duisburg v Augsburg in the bundesliga 2, unders is 2.46 so if there is no goal in the 1st 5 mins then ull be able to probably grab a good few ticks. Not looked at the stats of this game just using it as an example. If this game went 15 mins without a goal then ud be 10-25 ticks richer.

          good luck

          2.46 into 1.99 in 4 mins, this is were i do the business!

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          • #6
            I gave this a go today, with a couple of hours to go till kick off I backed unders in Man city and Celtic games at around 2.5, traded out after 11 mins in play, was only using £2 stakes and made nearly £1

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            • #7
              Originally posted by neeeel View Post
              I gave this a go today, with a couple of hours to go till kick off I backed unders in Man city and Celtic games at around 2.5, traded out after 11 mins in play, was only using £2 stakes and made nearly £1
              well done m8

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              • #8
                Whats your plan if an early goal goes in? Do you have a general idea of what the odds will do if a goal goes in in the first 10 mins say. I am guessing that they would go out to 3 or 3.5 for unders.

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                • #9
                  m8 its usually not big stakes so i usually leave it, certain games can be left and they will come back in pretty quickly

                  obviously 2 quick goals and ur F****d!!!

                  small stakes using this strategy.

                  the percentage of goals in the 1st 10mins must be pretty low so it usually gets u a few ticks at least.

                  u culd scalp correct score and other markets to reduce liabilities.

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                  • #10
                    when u say small stakes what do u mean, to me it means £2 lol

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                    • #11
                      10 or 20 quid m8

                      liability on a 1.5 shot is only 5 or 10 quid.

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                      • #12
                        Originally posted by neeeel View Post
                        Whats your plan if an early goal goes in? Do you have a general idea of what the odds will do if a goal goes in in the first 10 mins say. I am guessing that they would go out to 3 or 3.5 for unders.
                        I would insurance with LAY DRAW...

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                        • #13
                          red bull vs rapid vienna

                          unders 2.56

                          into 1.4 at half time

                          score 0-0

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                          • #14
                            I was on that one as well rod, but got out after 5 mins inplay.
                            How do you decide when to get out after 10 mins, and when to let it run, do you watch the matches?

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                            • #15
                              Originally posted by neeeel View Post
                              I was on that one as well rod, but got out after 5 mins inplay.
                              How do you decide when to get out after 10 mins, and when to let it run, do you watch the matches?
                              I watch every match, u get burnt if u dont

                              it depends on the match, if its a dull game then i tend to leave it but if it starts end to end then its a smash and grab job-it has to be or you will get burnt!!!

                              just use my knowledge to select matches, and stats.

                              if theres a game and unders is odds of 2.5 yet the teams last games finished 1-0 or 1-1 then theres a chance it could be unders, so 2.5 is far to big.these game come in so quickly inplay as well.

                              green on 5 matches today. and ive layed santander for 50 quid which is 3.35 from 2.7. so im green on that 2, im letting that one run as ive greened today for far more than the liability on this game. if its a draw or away win then its a huge bonus!!!!

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