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**Scumbag trader** · 6 June 2010, 09:39 PM

Well done Emkay :Kerching

**Emkayracing** · 7 June 2010, 06:47 PM

Monday 7th June

A good start to the thread, albeit a lucky one with Yourgolftravel Com getting in all sorts of trouble in-running and eventually going down by a nose. The decision to leave the 2.30pm alone yesterday proved to be a good one, although Top Flight Splash (Mentioned @ 30.0) looked the winner at the furlong pole and he traded at a low of around 5/4 in-running until Martin Lane took a risky racing line and that was him done with. He may be worth a look next time up.

There is only one race of any interest for me today and it's the last on the card at Pontefract, their 9.15pm.

Summary Sea Crest does not go. As the above indicates, the two last-time-out winners Chosen One and Poppy's Rose have to post career best efforts to win this, whereas the likes of Mr Wolf and Namir would be up to taking the race on some of their old form (MW achieved his highest winning rating in '06, Namir '08). King Of Swords and Darcy's Pride have yet to hit form this season and are feared, whilst Riflessione is in form but has crept back up to his last winning mark. As a four year old he should have some more improvement in him but he has to give weight to the field bar Milton Of Campsie - he will have his work cut out with 9st7 here.Baybshambles has dropped to 66 but he has been running creditably and could take this. Finally Rio Sands is 2 pounds higher than when he went in last season, however that was only a modest 46-60 and this is a better event. The suggestion here is to take on three of the top four, laying them collectively brings a potential return equivalent to backing the remaining runners at 2/5. Recommendation - Lay Chosen One @ 5.5, Lay Poppy's Rose @ 7.4, Lay Milton Of Campsie @ 10.5

Be lucky

**Boo** · 7 June 2010, 09:23 PM

Zap! Kpow! and Boom!

Well done, and in colour too

**Emkayracing** · 7 June 2010, 09:25 PM

A profit is a profit

That was pretty easy fishing;

Be lucky

**Emkayracing** · 8 June 2010, 05:52 PM

6.00 Salisbury

Just the one race of interest for me today, Salisbury's 6.00pm.

Summary Ask Jenny is out. No whip action here but plenty of possibles in what is an open looking race. At the foot of the weights Super Frank and Peopleton Brook look to have chances - each has dropped upwards of 7lbs in their last six races. The list shows My Learned Friend, War And Peace and Hazytoo will need to win from what would be career-high marks. Bold Tie has 9st 10 and his jockey is unable to claim anything having ridden 8 or more winners so that makes life difficult, although trainer Richard Hannon knows the time of day so I would not rule him out. The four year olds Simple Rhythm and Speak The Truth look to have every chance at the weights, yet either can be backed at double figure prices. Last but not least, Misaro had been in good form on the all weather and his last turf win came here in last June when he raced off a three pound higher mark.War And Peace has to be the lay here. He only has the one win from 26 career starts and the fact that there are 9 seconds among the remaining 25 races point to questions about his willingness to win. Recommendation - Lay War And Peace @ 5.0

Be lucky

**Emkayracing** · 8 June 2010, 07:05 PM

Result screenshot

When you lay, you want them all to run like this;

Be lucky

**Emkayracing** · 9 June 2010, 07:07 PM

Hamilton Wednesday

Onto a bog-standard night of action at Hamilton where there are two races to look at, the 7.35 which is a nice little 61-80 sprint handicap and their 9.05 which is open to runners rated upto a mark of 70.

Summary Bid For Gold is out. Tangerine Trees heads the market here - Bryan Smart's 5yo is a three time course and distance winner off marks of 63, 65 and 67 last summer. He struggled off a revised 73 in similar events afterwards and he had been dropped back down to 69 by the time he won on his seasonal bow at Pontefract in April. He followed up off 74 at Redcar weeks later but struggled at Doncaster in a similar race when racing off 77 in mid-May. The jury is out as far as he is concerned. Tadlavil also has course and distance winning form in the book, he won here around a month ago (25/1 SP) and he has been risen 4lb for that. His other two wins came at Ripon and Sandown so a stiff track suits, his latest effort came here just last week when third off tonight's rating of 69. Indian Skipper is 5 pounds lower than when winning an all weather contest over 7f at Kempton in January, his turf form is very in and out and more seconds than wins does not read well. Leonid Glow last won in April off 73, she is 5 pounds higher now and has struggled in her last two runs. Protector had been rated as high as 103 back in 2007, there is no doubt he is on the decline but he has been competing in much better races than this over recent months. He has an obvious chance despite the weight burden - the reservation has to be that he is only 6 from 41 in all starts and he has just the one UK turf win under his belt (2007). (Grissom taken out 6.45pm). Botham is another three time C & D winner and he was behind Tadlavil last week - a mark of 60 gives hime every chance tonight and he is yet another who could figure. One that should not is Sendreni, he was plum last in the contest here last week in which Tadlavil and Botham ran, he is probably 1.01 to fill that position again. A very open contest but one in which I cannot have Leonid Glow at the weights / price. Recommendation - Lay Leonid Glow @ 4.8

Summary Casino Night stayed at home. This race is complicated by three four year olds - Green Agenda, Saving Grace and Custard Cream Kid would only need to run up to their best form to take this Class 5 event. The weights are headed by Zaplimation but he finds himself 8 pounds higher than when last visiting the winners enclosure in April. The horse he beat that day Blue Spinnaker is a useful yardstick but he had to give Zaplimation 15 pounds in all (Including riders claim) and he only went down by 1/2 length. Zaplimation's three last runs have suggested that he is in the handicapper's grasp and he stands out as the lay bet here under top weight. Spotlight in the RP goes for the 13yo Anthemion under Adrian Nicholls and only 8st 4 - he looks sure to take them along under his featherweight but whether his old legs will get him home, who knows!? Tiger King will probably be out over hurdles soon so I would not pay too much attention to his participation here. Al Wasef is a maiden after 11 starts, although his initial mark of 73 has slipped to 60 and he was third when tackling this trip for the first time latest. Sarwin is on a fair mark but looks best left alone and finally Applaude has a seller, claimer and selling hurdle to his name but he has been beaten by a total of 42 lengths in his last three races, all similar events to this one. Recommendation - Lay Zaplimation @ 3.65

Odds are live - Spreadsheet is not!. Typo for Leonid Glow on SS.

Be lucky

**1/4 of a millionaire fund** · 9 June 2010, 09:15 PM

Well done Emkay, on a run at the moment

**Firkinelle** · 9 June 2010, 09:38 PM

Yes well done Emkay :Brilliant

**Emkayracing** · 10 June 2010, 06:49 PM

Thursday 10th

Just the one again this evening, off to Haydock for a look at their 8.50pm

Summary Play It Sam failed to win as a 2yo but he has been a different horse since running in handicaps and has taken three of his last seven outings, including the last two as a four year old. He had been ridden in a few different ways but at Ascot in April and Newbury in May the comments both read - 'Led, found plenty when challenged, ran on'. He is up ten pounds since his seasonal reappearance and I note that Eddie Ahern (Who won on him the last twice) does not ride tonight (He is at the meeting) - Adam Kirby is 0/7 on the horse. Captain Dancer has been raised 6 pounds for finishing 1/2 length second over 7f at Thirsk in April, the front two were 3 lengths ahead of the third. That equates to 9st this evening but this is his first try over a mile and on paper that would be his trip. His trainer Barry Hills is in good form and his only other runner on the card is Red Marling in the 7.20 (Same owner). Dajen is improving at a rate of knots, three runs ago the son of Champion sprinter Kyllachy was rated 61 and kicking about on the all weather. Wins at Wolverhampton (61, 67) were followed up on the turf at Yarmouth (72) and seven pound claimer Laura Pike is going for a three-timer on the horse. His style of running is hold-up and go late so it should be an interesting finish! Top weight Ezdeyaad will be having his sixth run since mid-April this evening. He is back up to 85 following a short-head success here on May 20th when rated 82, the time before he was a 13/8 favourite for a similar event over 7f at Catterick but he wilted under 9st 9 and finished a tired 6th of 7. On the plus side his form figures over a mile at Haydock read 513341 so he might be Placepot material if nothing else. The eight year old King Of Cyprus runs here for Messrs Nicholls and Nicholls. He had not raced often but 7 wins from 18 starts is more than respectable and he is another of those seeking a hat-trick here. This is the first time his official rating has exceeded 80 so he looks to have his work cut out with some pretty progressive looking four year olds lurking in the background. Arrivederla is arguably the classiest horse in the field. She did not race at two but made her debut as a three year old at Kempton last April where she was only beaten just over a length. 5 weeks later she cruised to success at Lingfield and then followed that effort up with a win over 7f here on soft ground when running in her first handicap off 76. She then tackled a mile for the first time at Doncaster in June where she was ridden more prominently and seemingly failed to get home in the race which was won by the now 99-rated Roman Republic. It was back in late April that we saw her for the first time as a 4yo, she ran OK to finish 6th in a 0-85 at Kempton off 83. Her mark remains unchanged for tonight's race. Riqaab cost Mick Easterby less than a second hand motor and he will probably conk out like one. Sellers will probably prove to be his cup of tea later in the season. Rio Cobolo and Full Victory both have recent placed form and both disappointed on their last start. Happy Anniversary won over 6f at Ayr as a 2yo but has not been back in the winners enclosure since, she wasn't beaten far over a mile at Redcar on her seasonal bow off 79 but disappointed when upped in class at Newbury afterwards and then she did not get a clear run at Warwick over 7f at the beginning of May. It is difficult to predict whether she will have a going day today. Finally Desert Dreamer has had an amazing 124 starts in his career, from the quick scan that I had I could not see that he has been to Haydock before! He has a total of 17 wins over 6-7f but this notorious slow starter has apparent stamina question marks and is best left alone. I cannot get away from Harry Dunlop's filly Arrivederla here, I like the fact that she has had a run followed by a break and presumably connections could have taken her to any number of different tracks but instead they have opted to make the 170 mile journey to Haydock. Recommendation - Back Arrivederla for a place @ 2.94

Be lucky

Recent results :-

Lay Tubby Isaacs @ 2.9 (Different thread) WON
Lay Anne Of Kiev @ 2.42 (Different thread) WON
Back Workforce (Dutched with Midas Touch) WON
Lay Yourgolftravel Com @ 2.28 WON
Lay Chosen One, Poppy's Rose, Milton Of Campsie WON
Lay War And Peace @ 5.0 WON
Lay Leonid Glow @ 4.8 WON
Lay Zaplamation @ 3.65 WON

**Emkayracing** · 10 June 2010, 08:58 PM

Originally posted by Emkayracing View Post

Recent results :-

Lay Tubby Isaacs @ 2.9 (Different thread) WON
Lay Anne Of Kiev @ 2.42 (Different thread) WON
Back Workforce (Dutched with Midas Touch) WON
Lay Yourgolftravel Com @ 2.28 WON
Lay Chosen One, Poppy's Rose, Milton Of Campsie WON
Lay War And Peace @ 5.0 WON
Lay Leonid Glow @ 4.8 WON
Lay Zaplamation @ 3.65 WON

Back Arrivederla to place @ 2.94 LOST

**Emkayracing** · 3 July 2010, 01:42 AM

Old Newton Cup, Haydock, Saturday 3.05pm

Right folks, time to crack on with the thread after a little break for the World Cup (Which is getting better and better

).
Haydock stages a bog standard day of racing on Saturday with the Old Newton Cup going off at 3.25pm.The Group 1 Eclipse at Sandown looks a particularly weak affair on paper and it’s a bit of a let down in all honesty – anyway, to Haydock;

Fiery Lad heads the weights here on 9st 10 with his official rating of 110. This fella was out in Dubai back in the Spring – his owners Samanda Racing are new to the scene and they have paid decent amounts for a number of ex-Irish flat horses. Fiery Lad went in off 105 on Derby day so he merits respect here but his form figures beyond 10 furlongs on turf bring stamina-related question marks. 21.0

Munsef seems to have been around forever and he is a reliable sort. He took in the Melbourne Cup last backend and has finished well beaten behind Harbinger and Tactic in his two starts this time around – his latest handicap win was off 105 so a two pound higher mark makes his winning prospects doubtful in what is a particularly competitive race.25.0

Almiqdaad has been a beaten favourite (Joint once) in his last three start which were over 9 & 10 furlongs. He took the John Smiths at Newbury last September, a similar type of race as this one, but that was off 93 and so 100 may be a stopper for the time being. On the plus side Kings Gambit (Who beat Almiqdaad 1 � lengths off levels first time up) was rated 110 at the time and has since run well at Royal Ascot (105). Yet to be tried over 12 furlongs.13.5

Red Merlin took this event last year off 92 and he comes back for another crack on a current 100. Trip and ground are no problem plus John Fahy will be taking 5 pounds off, however on balance he is probably too high in the weights for now and he may need the handicapper’s help to get him back on the winning trail.14.5

Hillview Boy started his racing career in bumpers back in November of 2008. Switched codes the following Summer and won his Maiden over 9f at Hamilton on his debut. He went in again at Doncaster in August 2009 (Soft, rated 80) and a series of decent placed efforts followed. Won ‘Readily’ off 94 at Hamilton last time out, he has gone up 4 pound for that effort and so to take this he needs to step forwards again. 11.0

Dangerous Midge has only had seven starts in his life. He won his Maiden in June of last year and was beaten off 77 before taking a Conditions Race at Doncaster in September. He went back to Donny for a �6k Handicap in April and duly dotted up – 88 became 99 and he has finished sixth twice in two big handicaps since. Does not look the most likely type on paper.14.5

Thin Red Line was behind Fiery Lad most recently and prior to that he had won at Chester (10f, 87) and Kempton (12f, 82). He is up to 95 after his Epsom effort and that seems pretty harsh. A combination of the long home straight and potential stamina concerns may find him out here, I feel. 13.0

Siberian Tiger is probably better known for his hurdling exploits as his flat form is ordinary to say the least. Won off 96 back in 2008 but was stuffed off 95 in the Ladies race at York some weeks back – down to 93 here but plenty of questions to answer. 24.0

Submariner can offer just five runs in terms of form, all of them are from 2010 – 3 wins (Maiden, 82, 88) and a decent effort at Ascot last time (Behind Dangerous Midge off 94) would appear to give him every chance. Trip and ground hold no fears, for me it is the question as to whether A) His mark of 92 is within his radar and B) Whether the Ascot race may have left its mark. 8.6

Demolition has won off of marks in the early 80s but he crept up the weights throughout last season and he comes to race here off 92. Ran creditably last time out off 93 in an ordinary race, this demands more and he is another who will be competitive again when he goes back down the weights.23.0

Final Victory is another of these with form from the Wolferton at Royal Ascot (12th, off 91). He has wins of 80 and 84 in the bag and as he struggled of this mark at Ascot there is no reason why it will not be the same story here. Trip and ground are fine for him – note that stable claimer David Probert rides Hanoverian Baron.22.0

Spirit Is Needed won here in May off 83 and only just failed to follow up next time out (89). Started 7/1 but was beaten a mile in the Ladies race at York in which Siberian Tiger finished a distant 4th, he was 11 length behind Overturn when upped to 2 miles for last week’s Northumberland Plate. Looks to be in the handicappers grasp for now.42.0

Reve De Nuit is 3 from 20 in all starts, this four year old was running in his native France in 2009. A winner at Southwell on his British debut in January, he was generally disappointing afterwards but a fairly long losing run ended last time out at Newmarket when he took his first UK turf race off 86 (10f). A mark of 90 had proven beyond him earlier in the season in lesser races than this so it looks fairly safe to omit him from calculations.36.0

The Fonz won at Windsor last time out off 84 having been beaten off 78, 79 and 80 in similar events in recent months (Beaten a SH on one occasion). Louis Philippe Beuzelin is back in the saddle here but he probably needs to step up on his Windsor effort to figure – Dangerous Midge gave him weight and a thrashing at Doncaster earlier in the season.9.4

Hanoverian Baron is favourite and surprisingly so in my opinion. He mixed it with some quality 2yos when trained by John Oxx in Ireland but after winning a Dundalk (AW) Maiden he was largely disappointing and he joined Dandy Nicholls for his 2009 campaign. Last seen for Dandy at Southwell in July of last year, he went on to join the Newcombes in Devon and they quickly stepped him up in trip. He raced off a lowly 72 when taking a 12f Sandown Handicap in September of last year and it was not surprising that he was able to follow up off 76 around a month later at Salisbury. He made his seasonal bow in the City & Surburban at Epsom in April and finished a creditable 2 � lengths second to the highly regarded Alainmaar (Gave lumps of weight away). It was back to winning ways at York on May 14th for Hanoverian Baron – that was a class two 0-105 but the exposed Drill Sergeant was top weight and the 4th and 5th were rated in the late 70s. He is up to 88 for this but I cannot see how he is going to trouble some of these – he needs to find around half a stone to win it if the official ratings are to be believed. 5.5

Summary A great handicap and a real head scratcher in terms of finding the winner. The Fonz might be a better bet than Hanoverian Baron solely because his profile suggests that the best is yet to come. At the other end of the weights Fiery Lad is the class act and Almiqdaad may well improve for the step up in trip. Submariner is weighted to win this but I cannot put him forwards until we see if Ascot took the edge off him. Neck on the block time - I cannot have Hanoverian Baron at the weights or at the price. Laying for a place (1-2-3-4) at 1.9 looks the call simply because I think he is outclassed here. If Fiery Lad, Almiqdaad, The Fonz and Submariner plus others all run their races the lay will not make the frame.

Recommendation – Lay Hanoverian Baron for a place @ 1.9

Be lucky

**Emkayracing** · 3 July 2010, 03:50 PM

Result

**Emkayracing** · 30 July 2010, 01:47 AM

Stewards Cup - Utter twaddle

Saturday sees Goodwood host the annual Bookmakers benevolent fund race, a.k.a. the Stewards Cup. The draw has been made, the ground is not likely to change much between now and race time and the field of 28 entrants will remain largely unchanged � so let�s have a look at them in rough price order (Taken from the BF Ante-Post book, which is somewhere between quiet and dead);

Genki � 8.2 to back � Aged 6 � 9st 9lb - Drawn 25 � Official rating 106 � Highest winning rating (In a turf handicap) 96 (Goodwood, 6f , 1/8/09, Soft)

Palace Moon � 9.6 �5 � 9st 8lb- 20 � 105 � 88 (Doncaster, 6f, 29/3/09, Good to Firm)

Jonny Mudball � 12.0 � 4 � 9st 2lb � 19 - 99 � 90 (Newcastle, 6f, 26/6/10, Good to Firm)

Enact � 10.5 � 4 - 9st 1lb � 27 � 98 � 84 (Nottingham, 6f, 18/8/09, Good To Firm)

Noverre To Go � 15.5 - 4 � 9st 0lb � 24 � 97 � 93 (Newmarket, 6f, 30/5/10, Good)

Rileyskeepingfaith � 18.0 � 4 � 9st 4lb � 15 � 101 � 97 (Newbury, 6f, 15/5/10, Good to Firm)

Striking Spirit � 19.0 � 5 � 9st 2lb � 5 � 99 � 93 � (York, 6f, 11/7/09, Good to Firm)

Johannes � 19.0 � 7 � 9st 2lb � 3 � 99 � 95 (York, 5f, 13/5/10, Good to Firm)

Jimmy Styles � 34.0 � 6 � 9st 7lb � 6 � 104 � 100 (Ayr, 6f, 19/9/09, Good)

Knot In Wood � 32.0 � 8 � 9st 10lb � 9 � 107 � 103 (York, 6f, 25/7/09, Good)

Secret Asset � 19.5 � 5 � 9st 0lb � 10 � 97 � 88 (Beverley, 5f, 26/8/07, Good to Firm)

Kaldoun Kingdom � 29.0 � 5 � 9st 4lb � 4 � 101 � 99 (Doncaster, 28/3/10, Good To Soft)

Castles In The Air � 23.0 � 5 � 9st 6lb � 2 � 103 � 100 (Ascot, 7f, 24/7/10, Good)

Parisian Pyramid � 26.0 � 4 � 8st 13lb � 1 � 96 � 91 (Windsor, 6f, 26/6/10, Good to Firm)

Ingleby Lady � 38.0 � 4 � 9st 0lb � 26 � 97 � 92 (York, 6ft, 14/5/10, Good to Firm)

Hitchens � 30.0 � 5 � 9st 2lb � 28 � 99 � 102 (Windsor, 6f, 28/6/08, Good to Firm)

Evens And Odds � 36.0 � 6 � 9st 1lb � 18 � 98 � 90 (Newmarket, 6f, 3/5/09, Good to Firm)

Sir Gerry � 42.0 � 5 � 9st 9lb � 16 � 106 � N/A (Group and Listed turf wins only)

Prohibit � 42.0 � 5 � 9st 1lb � 12 � 98 � 86 (Newmarket, 6f, 16/4/08, Good to Firm)

Run For The Hills � 42.0 � 4 � 9st 1lb � 22 � 98 � N/A (Maiden win only)

Iver Bridge Lad � 40.0 � 3 � 9st 2lb � 17 � 104 � N/A (Listed & Maiden wins only)

Singeur � 65.0 � 3 � 8st 12lb � 21 � 100 � N/A (Nursery & Conditions wins only)

Prime Exhibit - 65.0 � 5 � 9st 0lb � 13 � 97 � 82 (Sandown, 7f, 13/8/09, Good)

Sonny Red � 55.0 � 6 � 9st 0lb � 7 � 97 � 96 (Nottingham, 5f, 2/4/08, Soft)

Edge Closer � 75.0 � 6 � 9st 5lb � 11 � 102 � 83 (Ascot, 6f, 28/7/07, Good)

Everymanforhimself � 80.0 � 6 � 9st 1lb � 8 � 98 � 92 (Haydock, 6f, 8/8/09, Good to Firm)

Ancien Regime � 42.0 � 5 � 9st 1lb � 23 � 98 � 95 (Newmarket, 6f, 24/5/08, Firm)

Advanced � 60.0 � 7 � 9st 2lb � 14 � 99 � 109 (Ayr, 6f, 22/9/07, Good to Soft)

Summary � It is 24 hours too early to be calling this, the 2.45pm on Friday should indicate the �Place to be� in terms of draw boxes .For the stattos four year olds have a good record in this contest which you would expect. One three year old has popped up to take this in the last 24 years, two six year olds and Shikari�s Son was a 40/1 winner as an 8 year old under the currently in-form Richard Hughes back in 1995. The last seven winners were officially rated between 91 and 102.

Of the current front five;

Genki returns for another crack at this having won this after the heavens opened last year. He deserves to be short but looks fairly vulnerable off a 10lb higher mark and as a six year old this time around. Fridays race will indicate whether it is best to be drawn high (Genki 25/28)

Palace Moon (Fantastic Light ex Palace Street (Secreto)) was certainly not bred to be a sprinter yet he has cut it as a fairly useful sprint handicapper. Sir Gerry saw him off in a Listed contest at Salisbury in June and he has since had runs at Royal Ascot (3rd in Wokingham) and Newmarket (2nd in Bunbury Cup). Those runs will not have escaped the handicappers notice and 110 makes life very difficult � even with K.Fallon in the plate.

Jonny Mudball absolutely hacked up at Newcastle last time under Seb Sanders. He bagged the rail and made virtually all that day � something which is probably not on the cards from box 19 of 28 here. Note that Parisian Pyramid beat Jonny Mudball � length here in May when getting one pound � the difference now is 3 pounds and so with PP in stall 1 it will be interesting to see what happens in Friday�s race. Could still be well handicapped all the same.

Enact has been off the track since the Guineas meeting when he finished a length or so behind the Ante Post favourite for this, Hawkeyethenoo. That was a career best on ratings and so as a relatively lightly raced 4yo he has to come into the equation for Cheveley Park, Ryan Moore and Sir Michael Stoute. Another with a high draw, he could be particularly well in and is definitely one to keep an eye on.

Noverre To Go was slightly disappointing last time in the Wokingham at Royal Ascot but prior to that he was a neck winner of an ordinary Newmarket 0-100 (Run For The Hills & Ancien Regime behind). Stats followers will have to include him as he is a 4yo rated 97, I have slight doubts as to whether he has the ability to take this off his current mark, though.

Update tomorrow

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